Now that the cn|2 Poll results are out, check out how its findings stack up to those of recent independent surveys.
The Rasmussen Reports, the Washington-based political publication that uses Pulse Opinion Research, has polled twice in the last month. Public Policy Polling, a North Carolina firm that surveys races across the nation and also does work for some Democratic candidates, surveyed Kentucky voters in late June.
U.S. Senate race of Rand Paul, the Republican, against Jack Conway, the Democrat:
- cn|2 (7/22) Paul 41% to Conway 38% with 19% undecided
- Rasm. (7/20) Paul 49% to Conway 41% with 10% other/not sure
- PPP (6/30) Paul 43% to Conway 43% with 14% undecided
- Rasm.(6/28) Paul 49% to Conway 42% with 9% other/not sure
Rand Paul’s support by political ideology:
- cn|2 (7/22) 65.4% of conservatives, 18% of moderates, 11.4% of liberals
- PPP (6/30) 68% of conservatives, 25% of moderates, 6% of liberals
- Rasm. (6/28) 75% of conservatives, 27% of moderates and 21% of liberals
Jack Conway’s support by political ideology:
- cn|2 (7/22) 75.8% of liberals, 52.4% of moderates, 14.6% of conservatives
- PPP (6/30) 84% of liberals, 59% of moderates, 18% of conservatives
- Rasm. (6/28) 74% of liberals, 62% of moderates, 15% of conservatives
Rand Paul’s favorability
- cn|2 (7/22) 18.2% very fav. 29.3% somewhat fav., 15.8% somewhat unfav., 17.1% very unfav., 17.9% unsure
- Rasm. (7/20) 22% very fav., 35% somewhat fav., 16% somewhat unfav., 19% very unfav., 8% unsure
- PPP (6/30) 34% overall favorable, 42% overall unfavorable, 24% unsure
- Rasm. (6/28) 55% overall favorable, 38% overall unfavorable, 7% unsure
Jack Conway’s favorability
- cn|2 (7/22) 14.2% very fav., 36.1% somewhat fav., 11.2% somewhat unfav., 8.1% very unfav., 28.1% unsure
- Rasm. (7/20) 16% very fav., 33% somewhat fav., 27% somewhat unfav., 13% very unfav., 12% unsure
- PPP (6/30) 31% overall favorable, 29% overall unfavorable, 40% unsure
- Rasm. (6/28) 51% overall favorable, 35% overall unfavorable, 14% unsure
President Barack Obama’s job approval rating:
- cn|2 (7/22) 15.3% strongly approve, 25.7% somewhat approve, 13.4% somewhat disapprove, 42.2% strongly disapprove
- Rasm. (7/20) 25% strongly approve, 17% somewhat approve, 10% somewhat disapprove, 48% strongly disapprove
- PPP (6/30) 37% overall approve, 58% overall disapprove, 5% not sure
Gov. Steve Beshear’s job approval rating:
- cn|2 (7/22) 12.5% strongly approve, 57.3% somewhat approve, 14.5% somewhat disapprove, 7.4% strongly disapprove
- Rasm. (7/20) 18% strongly approve, 36% somewhat approve, 25% somewhat disapprove, 18% strongly disapprove
- Ryan Alessi
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About Ryan Alessi
Are you guys really going to ignore Jack Conway’s trip to this convention in Las Vegas that featured Van Jones, Pelosi and Reid? Seriously?
You forgot to include the most interesting comparison.
The cn/2 poll conducted by Braun and the PPP poll were pretty similar when it comes to the Senate horse race — cn/2 placing it at 41-38 Paul and PPP tied at 43-43, which means they are within the margin of error of each other.
The eye-popping discrepancy is over the popularity of Sen. Mitch McConnell. cn/2 has McConnell, basically, as the most popular politico in the state with a 53.1 favorability. PPP has McConnell at, as I recollect, 38 percent. Now that’s a gaping hole between two polls that produced similar results on another question. How do you account for that?
Bill,
That’s a good question — one I’ll pose to our polling firm. But the key thing to note on the U.S. Senate race question is that 19% of people in the cn|2 Poll told the live interviewers that they didn’t know which candidate they’d be supporting yet and another 2% refused to answer. That’s a higher non-response rate than the Public Policy Polling survey, which is done by an automated system.
On Sen. McConnell’s approval rating, only 5% of respondents either said they didn’t know or refused to respond. So clearly, the group of likely voters we surveyed collectively had more definitive opinions on Sen. McConnell. Meanwhile, Sen. Bunning didn’t score nearly as well, getting an approval rating of 43.7% and a higher percentage of people who said they didn’t know or didn’t respond.
- ryan